Starting on Thursday, April 7th
Course Preview: Augusta National Golf Course
Who doesn’t love Augusta National Golf Course? I mean with the magnolia trees going everywhere all of the property. I love magnolia trees. They were always in our front yard when I was growing up. Every year Augusta is constantly being adjusted as golf changed to make it one of the most challenging. This course was designed by Alistair Mackenzie and Bobby Jones, the course measures just over 7,400 yards and is a Par 72.
The best golfers in the world will be competing for the $11.5 million purse at Augusta, but who will earn the $2.07 million first place prize and coveted Green Jacket at the 2022 Masters? Driving accuracy is amongst the most important metrics here each season, as the fairways are lined with thick trees.
Who I Think Is Going To Win?
1. Jon Rahm (+1200 PointsBet)
It’s no surprise that the world’s best golfer has the best odds to win this year. He finished tied 5th last year and has four consecutive Top 10 finishes at this course (Tied 7th in 2020, Tied 9th in 2019 and 4th in 2018).
2. Justin Thomas (+1300 FanDuel)
Justin Thomas is one of the best iron players and ball strikers in the world. Thomas’ all-around game gives him the ability to put up low scores in any round, as evidenced by his 2nd Round 67 last year and 1st Round 66 in 2020. He finished tied 21st here in 2021, but finished solo 4 in 2020 after a tied 12th and tied 17th in the previous two years.
3. Rory McIlroy (+2000 DraftKings)
The four-time major champion has an impressive six Top-10 finishes in 13 Masters appearances. While he hasn’t won a Green Jacket yet, he’s been remarkably consistent at Augusta.
#4. Patrick Cantlay (+2500 DraftKings)
The 2021 PGA Tour Player of the Year is off to another hot start this season, with four Top-10 finishes in five events. He won four events last season and has tied 9th and tied 17th finishes here at Augusta in 2019 and 2021, respectively.
#5. Collin Morikawa (+2200 FanDuel)
Morikawa clearly doesn’t mind the pressure of major tournaments, having won the 2020 PGA Championship and the 2021 Open Championship already. The 25 year old finished tied 18th at last year’s Masters. His current form is a bit concerning (after finishing 68 at the Valspar following a MC at THE PLAYERS), but he started off the year with these finishing positions: 2, 7, 5, 5 and 2. When he’s hot, he’s one of the best in the world.
WILL TIGER CONTEND?
Tiger Woods (+3500 DraftKings)
The short answer is: no. Per our model, he has +136519 odds (or a 0.07% chance) to win this event coming off his horrific car crash injuries and corresponding layoff. Hint: don’t fall for the trap that sportsbooks are setting!
Sleeper Who Could Make Some Noise
Webb Simpson (+6500 FanDuel)
This is Simpson’s 11th consecutive Masters start and he’s had three straight solid performances at the event: Tied 5th in 2019, Tied 10th in 2020 and Tied 12th in 2021. His top performances of the season came at the RSM Classic (8th), The CJ Cup at Summit (14th) and the Hero World Challenge (17th), but he profiles well at Augusta.
Bryson DeChambeau Top 5 Finish (+800 PointsBet)
DeChambeau reportedly calls his 6 iron “Juniper” after Augusta’s Par-3 6th hole. This will be his sixth Masters appearance. DeChambeau always has a length advantage over the field and can take unique angles and approach shots that others can’t even dream of attempting.
Hideki Matsuyama Top 10 Finish (+360 FanDuel)
Matsuyama won this event last year with a -10 score and finished tied 2nd in Par-4 Scoring, 4th in Par-5 scoring. Part of that victory included a sensational third-round 65 score and he took a four-stroke lead into Sunday. He ranks 9th in the field in SG: Approach-The-Green, T3 in Par-5 Scoring and 12th in Bogey Avoidance this season.
Webb Simpson Top 20 Finish (+275 DraftKings)
It seems like Simpson’s figured some things out over the years, having posted a pair of Top-10s, four Top-25s and made the cut in seven of his 10 appearances at Augusta. He ranks 9th in Overall Putting Average this season.
Brooks Koepka Top 20 Finish (-125 DraftKings)
Of his eight career wins on the PGA Tour, 50% have come at majors, with only the British and the Masters still eluding him. Looking back over his Masters runs, before a missed cut last year in a season where he could never stay healthy, Koepka finished no worse than tied 33rd in the event with two top 10s (2019, 2020). Still, one of the best on Tour off the tee (#5 in driving distance), if Koepka’s putter can get even remotely hot this week, he always has a chance on golf’s biggest stages.
Here are my bets. Good luck with what you choose to bet. I hope you have a profitable tournament.